Tuesday, 19 July 2016

ESEA-O playoff predictions - July 17

NEWS:

I got siked last week by KICKFLIP, who have been resurrected as the 3rd team using that roster, this time by s21 IM winner Wrech and some of his friends with IM and invite experience.  Assumed forfeit wins being void move a few teams out of playoff contention (sorry for getting your hopes up to watch No Johns crush Bobby and the Bobbettes).  Bye-week makeup matches have also been scheduled now, which helps narrow down low seeds.



PREDICTED PLAYOFF SEEDS:

#1 - No Johns

demoted & Juicy
Simulate
Huck
powergamer
cookiejake


Expected record 16-0.  Nothing to add, should easily secure top seed now.




#2 - Every Villain Is Lemons

Troopo & emperor
Reflecto
Faust
sail
Fabulous


Expected record 15-1.  I was anticipating a forfeit win against KICKFLIP but now they will actually have to play.  Not a sure loss, maybe, but even if they win and go 16-0 they will be #2 seed so it doesn't make a difference.



#3 - Milters

Jaker & fubuki
Ziozma/Gluka
Sybran
Lights
CallumSLG


Expected record 14-2.  They should have the most rounds won of all 14-2 teams.  Could still lose to Kawaii Sexu Desu Desu, which would drop them down to ~6th seed & allow Kawaii to make playoffs.



#4 - Not Around Bears

zacice & edward
mostlybacon
Morin
Moy
Differ


Expected record 14-2.  If Milters don't win all remaining games with 5 rounds for in each one, Not Around Bears will take 3rd seed from them as they are on track to only be 1 round behind.



#5 -The Westbrook Effect

Madoff & coughy
Daffodil
twobold
JOE
Couch


Expected record 14-2.  A 4-3 loss to the new KICKFLIP drops their seed, but not significantly.  They've been playing with a pocket, so likely not meeting their full potential.  UPDATE: JOE says they will be starting playoffs with more subs, roster tba.



#6 - Egg Salad Dressing

Keith & jynx
Milt
Brimstone
YellowCellPhone
tiptoes


Expected record 14-2.  Their match against Kawaii Sexu Desu Desu was too close for comfort, but the 3 remaining games should be much easier.



#7 - malicious activity

mukhtar & cody/aim
dingo
crushing
xrod
geknaiir


Expected record 13-3.  Circa left the roster and Aim doesn't want to play anymore, causing them to shuffle the lineup (seems to change every game).  Lost to KICKFLIP pretty badly on sunshine.  Not sure who they will actually use in playoffs.



#8 - Hurricane Watch

The_savior & link_1012
edy
nessie
averted
Queyh


Expected record 12-4.  Their combo is back from vacation now and they should be able to avoid another forfeit loss fiasco. 



#9 - Bote 6v6

bo4r & spaces_slick
vipa
p3nguin
Rightjustify
Rogue


Expected record 11-5.  Their new pocket p3nguin (soldier from Bote Highlander) is not yet paid up & hasn't played a game, but seems to be doing fine in scrims.



#10 - MintyFresh

dev & Carn
Poruba
Conky
Yuno
VAVLIE


Expected record 11-5.  They've been under the radar for most of the season, but an impressive golden cap win over Mario Gang might show that they've grown enough to be able to hold their own in playoffs.



#11 - Mario Gang

Barycenter & han
Kev2019
duckrider32
CereaI
Neo


Expected record 11-5.  Two losses on sunshine hurts their playoff seed a little bit.  They've shuffled roster now and it remains to be seen how well they will play without megaboy, but big papa han is an excellent pickup.



#12 - KICKFLIP

Wrech & icTus?
Campy
Connor
unf
lee


Expected record 11-5.  Open s22 finally has it's sandbaggers, with half of s21 IM winners and current invite team Sinful Gaming abandoning to take over an open team.  Rumor has it that icTus is playing on -ASTRA-'s account.  Only EVIL really stands in their way; if they lose that match, they won't likely have enough rounds won to make playoffs.



#13 - System 2

Apt & punisher
Def
Tino
Yipyapper
Dr. Shdwpuppet


Expected record 10-6.  As mentioned last week, should have the most rounds of all 10-6 teams by a significant margin.  Haven't lost since dreamboat started subbing in matches again 8).



#14 - Cant Predict Stupid

Duke Em & negasora
pot
MONSTA
GGen
Smarty


Expected record 10-6.  Two forfeit wins last week drops their rounds-for count.  With their bye week makeup scheduled against low-mid team Razes Empty Wallet they should have no problem reaching 10 wins.



#15 - WuT dUdE

Uber & bwelp
Polar
Lysol
Fahren
Translucent Feces


Expected record 10-6.  With their bye week makeup scheduled against low open and possibly dead team The Youngbloods they should have no problem reaching 10 wins.



#16 - Bob-omb Squad

ether & ebsikl
plan
mirrorman
Wyze
fusionn


Expected record 10-6.  Having the lowest rounds-for of tied teams, their playoff spot depends on Kawaii Sexu Desu Desu losing to Milters, unless another expected 10-6 team loses a game.



POSSIBLE SPOILER TEAMS:

Kawaii Sexu Desu Desu - Came close against ESD, but now they must beat Milters (or have a team above them suffer an upset loss) to make playoffs.  By far the most rounds-for of all 9-7 teams.

Bearly Alive - I guess they could hypothetically beat No Johns to take 16th seed.



SOME UPCOMING MATCHES TO WATCH:

KICKFLIP vs Every Villain Is Lemons
MintyFresh VS CantBelieveItsNotBuddha
Every Villain Is Lemons VS Bring back the funk
kawaii sexu desu desu VS Milters
white strawberry doggos VS Not Around Bears
No Johns VS Bearly Alive